INIHAYAG ng Octa Research Group na bumababa na ang daily growth rate ng COVID-19 sa Metro Manila.
“The daily growth rate in the NCR (based on the 7-day moving average of new cases) has been decreasing steadily. It has now decreased to 3%, from 5% a day before. Once the daily growth rate becomes negative, new cases in the NCR are decreasing,” ayon kay OCTA Research fellow Guido David.
Ibig sabihin nito, ayon kay David, na posibleng bumaba na rin ang bilang ng kaso ng COVID-19 sa mga susunod na araw.
“NCR daily growth rate steadily declining, now at just 3%. If this trend is real, we could expect 16 to 18k cases in the NCR today, and 15 to 16k tomorrow,” ani David.
Samantala, bumaba rin ang reproduction number ng coronavirus infections sa Metro Manila mula 3.77 noong Enero 10 sa 3.22 noong Enero 11, ayon sa OCTA Research fellow.
“However, if this trend is solid, we should expect between 16k to 18k new cases in the NCR on January 15, 2022, and 15k to 16k on January 16, towards a consistent decrease,” ani David.